UdangLipan. Powered by Blogger.

Friday, February 8, 2013

Baca Sajalah.

Shocking news from Ground Zero(1).
by- Datok Ariff Sabri. 

As I promised, here is how the cookie may crumble. These figures were handed to me by moles burrowed deep in Bukit Aman, at MINDEF, from UMNO politicians and the boys and girls from Putrajaya whose tongues were made light and easy after nights out in town. I am surprised to hear of the extensive rejection of people in the Forces towards UMNO and BN. Pleasantly surprised that is.

My own feeling is there will be reversal of positions. In this coming elections, PR will get what BN got in 2008- 140 seats or thereabouts and the balance going to BN. when that happens, more will abandon the BN ship especially from the UMNO camp.As for now, what these shadows tell me are as follows:-

Table 1: The possible outcome in GE13.

No. State PR BN.
1. PERLIS 1 2.
2. KEDAH 13 2.
3. KELANTAN 13 1.
5. PENANG 12 1.
6. PERAK 18 6.
7. PAHANG 5 9.
8. SELANGOR 20 2.
10. PUTRAJAYA 0 1.
12. MELAKA 2 4.
13. JOHOR 12 14.
14. LABUAN 1 0.
15. SABAH 12 13.
16. SARAWAK 16 15.

TOTAL 145 77.

The table above is even more bullish than the analyses which I have made on several occasions. Having examined the data given to me, here is my take.

In Perlis, the seat that is most likely to fall is Arau. In 2008, PR obtained almost 49% of the votes casted. A swing of 5% of the votes this time to PR, will result in BN losing the seat.

In Kedah, the 2 seats that appear safe for BN are Langkawi and KUbang Pasu. BN’s most comfortable seat is Langkawi. In Langkawi although the opposition increased its share of the votes, BN starts with a strong existing vote bank. Similarly, in KUbang Pasu, in 2008, the opposition obtained 40% of the votes and increased its share of the votes by 9%. So perhaps, it’s time for Najib to move MUkhriz Mahathir to Langkawi so that he can continue to be an MP on the opposition bench in the next parliament.

In Kelantan, besides Tengku Razaleigh , I would have thought the bland and colourless Mustafa Mohamad would be able to retain his seat. It appears the tide is turning against him principally because of his stand on the oil royalty issue of Kelantan. Here is a son of Kelantan who's opposed to giving Kelantan people their oil royalty unless its managed by UMNO.

UMNO people are thieves who will not lose a second in getting their hands in the till. The people handing me the numbers insist that Mustafa Mohamad will get the boot this time.

What about those PR MPs who are seen to be under-performing? These will be replaced by determined and dedicated candidates who will continue to benefit from the overall support for PAS’s spiritual leader.

I have already touched on Terengganu in my earlier article. I predicted that PR will get 5 seats. According to the intelligence sources, PR would probably get 4 seats. Which is what PAS's secgen, Dato Mustafa Ali maintained. Earlier I thought, BN may lose Besut if it retains Abdullah Mat Zain , the incumbent. The man is hardly there. Will Mat Said be willing to select his arch enemy Idris Jusoh to contest in Besut? Otherwise according to these sources, BN will likely retain Besut, Setiu, Kemaman and Hulu Terengganu. That makes it 4-4.

In Penang, the only seat safe for BN is Tasek Gelugor. If Pak Lah stands again in Kepala Batas, he will lose. His replacement, whether its Reezal Merican or even son in law Khairy, will also be defeated. What else is left for Pak Lah to prove?

In Perak the relative safer seats for BN are to be found in (1) Gerik (2) Lenggong (3) Parit (4) Tapah (5) Bagan Datoh and (6) Tanjung Malim. Out of these 6, the weakest links are found in Bagan Datoh and Parit. So, people out there if you want to kick out Zahid Hamidi from Bagan Datoh, come out in full force to vote in PR13.

Please wait for the next installment of the forecast.In the meantime, see how the BN leaders are squirming. Some of them insist that BN will get a 2/3 majority. Meanwhile, Najib goes to Mahathir and says- please save me. He tweets to all and sundry, save Kedah. Why the plaintiff cries when you are confident of winning 2/3 majority?

To the rest of us, it should and must be- save the rakyat from the clutches of the evil BN government.


GeloraHatiMuda February 8, 2013 at 11:40 PM  

Asalamualaikum tuan,
blog tuan sudah dilinkkan di blog saya seperti yang diminta. Terima kasih krn menyenaraikan blog gendang perang di sini.

Anonymous,  February 25, 2013 at 4:31 PM  

[p]Pour le pays est dans 27 beaucoup au sujet de votre vie, tout le Fournisseur chaussures de sport est livr篓娄 avec provoqu篓娄 une large s篓娄lection de state-of-the-art des innovations technologiques pour des chaussures de sport pour accorder uniquement la meilleure qualit篓娄 . Les adolescents veulent mod篓篓le, tous ces Hunter Wellies offrir un choix plusieurs couleurs, la vari篓娄t篓娄 de toutes ces couleurs superbes alternatives pourront pour A impressionnant . Isabel Marant Basket Les individus plus que probable sont souvent le nombre de bottes en caoutchouc un grand chasseur robustes que vous pouvez trouver . She women that you government your better half stick a lot of our remedios toch shack dangerous Vermilli . The pads extended far beyond the shoulders, but that is not the plan now . Tous ces bas prix bottes en caoutchouc [url=http://www.isabelmaranttpascher.com]isabel marant[/url] Hunter Isabel Marant sont vraiment tendance antique dans lequel qualit篓娄s 篓娄tanches de consolation plus juste pour la flexibilit篓娄 et la r篓娄ticence de plus en plus 篓陇 l隆炉abrasion et . Appear coming from a number for you to abundance (hope) and not just only absence (fear) . S o m e t i m e s I p u t a r e d l i p s t i c k o n w h e n I d o n t h a v e a g o o d t a n b e c a u s e i t m a k e s m e b r i g h t e r a n d o t h e r w i s e I w o u l d l o o k g r e y.[/p][p]Satin which isn隆炉t as costly as silk, is a lot more resilient and simple to look after, and therefore quite preferred among panty purchasers . Pour l隆炉expliquer, il 篓潞tes 篓娄quip篓娄 d篓娄sir destin篓娄s modernes bottes pourquoi ne pas destin篓娄s 篓陇 la formation de plus connect篓娄 avec des chaussures faites sur mesure et des bottes avec la chanson lors de l隆炉utilisation des fonds, en plus de requirement . Les adolescents veulent mod篓篓le, tous ces Hunter Wellies offrir un choix plusieurs couleurs, la vari篓娄t篓娄 de toutes ces couleurs superbes alternatives pourront pour A impressionnant . Like a experienced ballerina by reason of 29 a number of a college coach at the same time so that you can, Cover up provide you [url=http://www.isabelmaranttpascher.com]isabel marant pas cher[/url] with the whole set of inside how-to's rectifying together with burdensome files get hold of achieving create Isabel Marant . Incroyable [url=http://www.isabelmaranttpascher.com]sneakers isabel marant pas cher[/url] chaussures Isabel Marant randonn篓娄e se sentir impressionnant . If you really want self-epiphany, then maybe you could purchase a new laptop, or a car, or a new house or even get a memorable tattoo . Ils ont 篓娄galement subi une [url=http://www.isabelmaranttpascher.com]chaussures isabel marant pas cher[/url] place tr篓篓s importante sur les march篓娄s des chaussures athl篓娄tiques . Tous les lacets doivent 篓潞tre saisis 篓陇 travers celui-ci.[/p]

Post a Comment

Sukahati hangpa nak tulih apa pun, Jangan dok maki hamun mencarut cukuplah, hangpa semua dah besaq panjang takan nak kena ajaq kot, boleh pikiaq kot nooo...

Rakan Seperjuangan

Subscribe to updates

  © Blogger templates The Professional Template by Ourblogtemplates.com 2008

Back to TOP